T-Mobile US is scheduled to release its earnings on Thursday, April 24, 2025. Consensus estimates suggest a year-over-year revenue increase of approximately 5% to $20.63 billion, while earnings are expected to grow by over 20% to $2.46 per share. This performance is likely to be fueled by continued strength in postpaid phone customer additions, driven by its robust 5G network. Earnings growth will also benefit from synergies stemming from the Sprint acquisition. Additionally, the company’s fixed wireless broadband segment is poised for further upside.
T-Mobile’s current market capitalization stands at $299 billion. Over the last twelve months, the company reported $81 billion in revenue, $18 billion in operating profits, and $11 billion in net income. For investors seeking growth with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High-Quality portfolio offers an attractive alternative — having outperformed the S&P 500 with returns of more than 91% since inception.
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T-Mobile US’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some insights into one-day (1D) post-earnings stock performance:
- Over the past five years, 20 earnings events were recorded, with 14 positive and 6 negative 1D returns. This translates to a 70% rate of positive 1D movement.
- That percentage slightly dips to 67% when considering just the last three years.
- The median of the 14 positive returns stands at 5.3%, while the median of the 6 negative returns is -0.3%.
Additional data covering 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) post-earnings returns are summarized in the table below.
Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
One relatively lower-risk strategy (effective if correlations are strong) involves evaluating the relationship between short- and medium-term post-earnings returns. Identifying the most correlated pair can help inform trading decisions. For instance, if the 1D and 5D returns are highly correlated, a trader may choose a “long” position for 5 days following a positive 1D return. Below is correlation data for the past 5 and 3 years. Note: 1D_5D indicates the correlation between 1D and 5D post-earnings returns.
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